American Center: Trump is able to end the war in Gaza but does not do policy

Since the outbreak of the Israeli war on Gaza about 22 months ago, the need for a decisive American intervention has increased to stop the continuous Israeli aggression. The United States is the most able to directly influence the war and peace decision in Israel.

Analysts – Speaking to Al -Jazeera Net – believe that any strong and active American move may change the rules of war, especially if it comes from a character with a large political and personal influence such as US President Donald Trump on decision makers in the Israeli government, especially with the escalation of the numbers of Palestinian civilians, and about 2.3 million to the risk of famine and malnutrition, as well as collective genocide.

This vision reinforces an analytical study of the Atlantic Center in Washington prepared by the expert in the security affairs of the Middle East region, Daniel B Shapiro, entitled “How can Trump end the war in Gaza?” The writer reviews the capabilities of Trump to stop the aggression against Gaza, but he does not do that yet, as he did on other occasions.

Trump’s influence

Shapiro notes that the personal influence of the US President on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (the judiciary of the International Court of Justice), and the absence of traditional pressures from Congress or American public opinion; Trump gives an exceptional ability to influence the Israeli decision away from official restrictions.

This opinion confirms the writer and political analyst Ahmed Al -Haila by saying that Trump is already capable of exercising sufficient pressure on Israel and stopping the aggression on Gaza, as Israel is working today with a political cover provided by the Trump administration, in addition to military and economic support, which gives the American President tools sufficient to curb Israel if he wants to.

The trick – in statements to Al -Jazeera Net – is martyred by the January 2024 agreement between the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) and Israel, which was signed with direct pressure from the Trump envoy to the Middle East, but Netanyahu was only overturned by only two months. He also cited Trump’s direct telephone intervention to stop a possible Israeli bombing on Iran last April, showing the American ability to direct the rudder of events if it wanted.

Trump’s relaxed positions

Despite the escalation of international calls to end the war in Gaza, President Trump has maintained a position closer to silence or laxity, according to the report of the Atlantic Center. The report sometimes accuses him of encouraging strict Israeli policies, especially after announcing what he called “Riviera Middle East” in Gaza, which was considered by the Israeli right as indirect support for the occupation of the Strip.

The Middle East expert goes further, and says that Trump has not shown an objection to Israel’s prevention of entering humanitarian aid to Gaza since last March. He did not object to the mechanism of distributing aid supervised by the “Gaza Humanitarian Foundation”, which has so far killed about two thousand martyrs and more than 15,000 injuries, according to the statistics of the Ministry of Health in Gaza.

But the trick believes that the backgrounds of the lack of American pressure are due to Trump’s desire to avoid a clash with the influential friends of Israel in Congress and the White House, along with an ideological dimension that links some of the corners of the Trump administration and Israel.

This strategic and ideological bias, according to the trick, deviates the moral and legal dimensions, and disrupts the implementation of international decisions on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, despite the International Court of Justice, an opinion, a consultative opinion describing Israel with a power of occupation, and demanded that this occupation be ended in a maximum period of 12 months.

Muhannad Mustafa, the expert in the Israeli affairs, did not move away from the previous opinion much, as he says that Trump can stop the war in Gaza or calm it by pressure on Netanyahu. He also cited the pressure that Trump practiced to stop the war with Iran without coordination with Israel.

But Mustafa – in his statements to Al -Jazeera Net – indicates that Trump does not exercise this pressure, but rather fully supports Netanyahu even if the military operations lead to the killing of Israeli prisoners, adding that Trump is also identical to the ideological approach to the Israeli right, and it is believed that increasing military pressure will lead to political gains and impose an agreement on enthusiasm on Israeli conditions, despite the failure of this trend repeatedly.

Gaza “occupation” plan

With the writing of this report, the Israeli occupation army is preparing to start a large -scale military operation in Gaza City, with the aim of pushing the northern residents to the south, especially after the approval of the Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz on the “Gideon II” plan to control the city, calling on tens of thousands of soldiers, despite the efforts of the mediators to reach a deal, which was met with internal Israeli criticism.

These military developments are accompanied by another political scene in the Israeli interior, which is characterized by floundering and mystery, as the report of the Atlantic Council says that the official statements in Israel on the goals of the military operation are “contradictory and mysterious”, as there are those who call for the complete elimination of Hamas, and who promotes the occupation of the sector or the forced resettlement of the Palestinians.

According to Shapiro, this confusion reflects divisions within the Netanyahu government, with the escalation of extremist right -wing voices and the refusal of the West and the Arabs to surrender Gaza to Israel. Adding that security experts warn that the option of complete occupation of Gaza is unrealistic, and Israel may drown in long resistance, with weak opportunities to liberate Israeli prisoners.

Analysts conclude that the American president remains the most able to exercise the appropriate pressure to change the course of war or prevent escalation and the continued genocide until 2026, and despite his possession of these effects of influence, he remains a strategic silence, a shortening that the region and the world may pay dearly unless it does not move seriously to the manufacture of a radical transformation in the path of the continuous war since October 2023.